Demand Forecasting Behavior: System Neglect and Change Detection
Finding to replicate
Hypothesis 1 (system neglect). Individuals show relatively more overreaction for low values of W=c²/n², and relatively more underreaction for high values of W.
Background Information
| Primary Replication Site | University of Texas at Dallas |
| Secondary Replication Site | University of Michigan – Ann Arbor |
| Target Replication Sample Size (Per Site) | 86 Individuals |
| Replication Subject Pool | University Students |
| Original Testing Modality | Laboratory |
| Initial Replication Modality | Virtual, Asynchronous |
| Secondary Replication Modality | Not Needed |
| Preregistration | AsPredicted #69122 |
| Original Paper | Published Online 07/15/2011 |
| Category | Forecasting |
Replication Results
| Finding Reproduced? | Full Replication |
| Replication Report | KremerEtAl2011_ReplicationReport.pdf |
| Replication Data, Analysis Script, and Stimuli | KremerEtAl2011_DAS.zip |